AI Predictions for Situation Awareness LP
Situation Awareness LP, led by Leopold Aschenbrenner, has focused long exposure across semiconductors, energy infrastructure, and power utilities—while hedging with a short position in semiconductor ETFs. This dashboard highlights how our tracked large language models view those holdings today.
Research Use Only
Positions compiled from public commentary and reporting. AI sentiment reflects model outputs at the time of our latest crawl and may change. No warranty; not investment advice.
Core Longs & AI Signals
Click any holding for a deeper dive. Rankings reflect aggregate AI sentiment with 1-year emphasis and 5-year normalization.
Ticker | Company | AI Models | 1-Year | 5-Year | AI Sentiment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
IREN | IREN | 5 models | + 68.0% | + 246.0% | 58.6% |
CORZ | CORZ | 5 models | + 56.0% | + 196.0% | 47.6% |
APLD | Applied Digital | 5 models | + 42.0% | + 212.0% | 42.2% |
CEG | Constellation Energy | 5 models | + 30.0% | + 151.0% | 30.1% |
VST | Vistra Corp | 5 models | + 31.0% | + 138.0% | 29.3% |
AVGO | Broadcom | 5 models | + 25.6% | + 123.0% | 25.1% |
INTC | Intel | 5 models | + 21.8% | + 91.0% | 20.0% |
EQT | EQT Corporation | 5 models | + 21.4% | + 87.0% | 19.4% |
Energy & Power Theme
EQT, VST, CEG, and the pair of bitcoin miners (IREN, APLD) anchor the fund's power and energy thesis. AI models currently view EQT and VST as meaningful upside plays tied to U.S. natural gas and peak load demand, while CEG provides stable carbon-free generation exposure.
Semiconductor Backbone
INTC and AVGO represent the core compute expansion bet. AI sentiment keeps Broadcom in the positive camp while Intel's turnaround narrative remains model-dependent. CORZ, IREN, and APLD extend that bet into data-center infrastructure.
Hedge Position: SMH Puts
Situation Awareness LP offsets part of its semiconductor beta with put exposure on the VanEck Semiconductor ETF. We highlight the raw AI expectations for SMH below—higher AI optimism suggests a tougher backdrop for the hedge, and vice versa.