AI Predictions for Situation Awareness LP
Situation Awareness LP, led by Leopold Aschenbrenner, recently pivoted toward digital infrastructure: bitcoin miners (CRWV, GLXY, CIFR, RIOT, HUT, BTDR), memory and storage plays (WDC, STX, SNDK), precision photonics (COHR, TSEM), and energy transition enablers (BE, SEI). Downside is buffered via puts on NVDA, GDX, AVGO, TSM, and MU. This dashboard highlights how tracked large language models view the updated book today.
Portfolio Update
Long exposure now centers on miners, storage, and photonics while previously highlighted allocations to AVGO, CEG, and SMH have been exited from the core book. Hedge exposure is expressed via puts instead of ETF shorts, focusing on NVDA, GDX, AVGO, TSM, and MU.
Research Use Only
Positions compiled from public commentary and reporting. AI sentiment reflects model outputs at the time of our latest crawl and may change. No warranty; not investment advice.
Core Longs & AI Signals
Click any holding for a deeper dive. Rankings reflect aggregate AI sentiment with 1-year emphasis and 5-year normalization.
| Ticker | Company | AI Models | 1-Year | 5-Year | AI Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLXY | Galaxy Digital | 5 models | + 70.0% | + 302.0% | 65.2% |
| CRWV | CoreWeave | 5 models | + 60.0% | + 256.0% | 55.6% |
| HUT | Hut 8 Mining | 5 models | + 64.0% | + 227.0% | 54.7% |
| BTDR | Bitdeer Technologies | 5 models | + 55.0% | + 263.0% | 53.8% |
| RIOT | Riot Platforms | 5 models | + 64.0% | + 197.0% | 51.7% |
| CIFR | Cipher Mining | 5 models | + 54.0% | + 237.0% | 50.7% |
| WDC | Western Digital | 5 models | + 35.6% | + 155.0% | 33.3% |
| SNDK | SanDisk | 5 models | + 29.0% | + 150.0% | 29.5% |
| COHR | Coherent Corp | 5 models | + 30.4% | + 135.0% | 28.7% |
| BE | Bloom Energy | 5 models | + 27.0% | + 147.0% | 28.2% |
| TSEM | Tower Semiconductor | 5 models | + 27.7% | + 136.0% | 27.4% |
| STX | Seagate Technology | 5 models | + 22.9% | + 105.0% | 21.9% |
| SEI | SEI Energy Infrastructure | 5 models | + 15.1% | + 66.0% | 14.1% |
Bitcoin Miners & Digital Infrastructure
CRWV, GLXY, CIFR, RIOT, HUT, and BTDR concentrate exposure on the compute + power stack that underpins bitcoin and AI-hosting workloads. AI models tend to reward miners that can secure low-cost energy, grow hashrate, and sell excess capacity back to hyperscalers.
Storage, Photonics & Clean Energy
WDC, STX, and SNDK keep the strategy levered to next-gen memory, while COHR and TSEM add precision photonics capacity. BE and SEI round out the theme with cleaner power electronics. Watch how AI sentiment balances cyclical storage demand with secular AI build-outs.
Hedge Book: AI & Metals Puts
The downside sleeve now relies on puts tied to NVDA, GDX, AVGO, TSM, and MU instead of broad ETF hedges. When AI sentiment runs hot on these names, the hedge bleeds; colder forecasts reinforce the protection. We track the same model expectations below.
| Ticker | Company | AI Models | 1-Year | 5-Year | AI Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDX | VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 5 models | + 21.7% | + 87.0% | 19.5% |
| TSM | TSM | 5 models | + 27.0% | + 163.0% | 29.8% |
| AVGO | Broadcom | 6 models | + 28.8% | + 168.3% | 31.3% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | 6 models | + 31.7% | + 197.5% | 35.6% |
| MU | Micron Technology | 5 models | + 35.8% | + 195.0% | 37.4% |